MLB DFS MAINSLATE BREAKDOWN 6/1/2022

A slightly smaller main slate ahead of us tonight, with a total of 8 games available.  There are some weather concerns to be aware of and generally speaking, it's a light night in terms of Vegas projected runs scores.  We have a couple solid pitchers on the mound but I personally don't see this as being one of the more exciting slates of the week.  Nonetheless, there are a few select players I'd be looking to include into lineups.

Weather wise, there seems to be some significant rain issues in New York, Detroit and Boston.  Keep that in mind when setting lineups as not only does it affect who is available but also can drastically affect other in-play players as ownership flocks to them.

DISCLAIMER - Keep in mind, these articles and any associated videos are published early, so that you have a chance to review and set lineups.  Actual lineups likely are not out yet, so please please make sure you check lineups before lock.  Also, please ensure you check weather and potential delays.

PITCHERS

  • Robbie Ray - $9,500 - @ BAL - 8.5 O/U

    • Robbie Ray stands alone tonight as the only premiere pitcher available. His price tag obviously reflects that but he is in a true great position tonight to pay-off. Each and every start, Ray offers tremendous upside in terms of strikeout potential as made evident by 2 games so far this season with 10 or more Ks and having 8 or more Ks in each of his last 4 starts. That is often hard to find, so don't pass it up. He has struggled a good bit there in limiting damage, giving up runs in each game this season including 14 earned runs allowed over his last 4 starts. However, there aren't many pitchers available to us tonight and as mentioned, his K potential can really offset even some of his worst outings. The good news is that he is facing Baltimore tonight, a team that generally is not very good. Baltimore ranked 27th vs. left handed pitching in WRC+, 28th in wOBA and 23rd in ISO. They are also striking out the 2nd most in baseball vs. lefties, at 26.2%. So all in all, this should be, at a minimum, an excellent opportunity for Ray to show off that K upside. Don't get too cute on this limited slate, Ray stands above all as the clear leader.
  • Jeffrey Springs - $6,200 - @ TEX - 7.5 O/U

    • Full disclaimer, I don't love this pick for a second picther but we are limited in options tonight. I think for the money, Springs could be the best value on the slate tonight. In fact, Daily Fantasy Nerd does have Springs as the highest value arm on the slate. The downside ist he Springs has primarily been a relief pitcher for the Rays. However, over the last 2 starts, the Rays have stretched him to 80 pitches a piece which most recently has led a 6 inning, 2 earned run, 6 K outing. He does offer some upside in terms of strikeouts (see last 2 outings), sporting a 26+% K-rate so far this season. It remains to be seen if he truly can last as a starter but I think for tonight's slate, he is a worth taking a chance. His opponent, Texas, is only projected to score 3.66 runs on the night. So I'll be taking a chance on Springs as a value play.
  • Nestor Cortes

  • Tarik Skubal

  • Mitchell White

BATS

  • Mookie Betts - $6,100 - v PIT - v Quintana

    • Betts has been on an absolute tear as of late and if history serves itself, you just want to ride the hot streak. Although the Dodgers have had their share of trouble this season with the lowly Pirates, Betts is still someone you want to single out tonight vs. the left hander Quintana. Not only will Betts have the split advantage but Quintana this season has been underwhelming vs. right handed bats with a 4.05 xFIP and 19% K-rate. Quintana has been able to limit damage and limit the long ball so far this season, but those numbers should start to regress back to his career means here at some point vs. right handers and who better to start that regression than Betts. Nothing else is really needed, start Mookie Betts if you can afford him.
  • Aaron Judge - $5,300 - v LAA - v Detmers

    • Detmers is not a pitcher you should fear and certainly not one Aaron Judge should either. When facing right handed bats, Detmer has allowed a .322 wOBA, 5.25 xFIP and struck them out under 18% for his career. Really, he has struggled vs. both sides of the plate, but lets take the split advantage here vs. a guy that has given up a bad number of long balls. Judge has a career 158 WRC+, .403 wOBA and .286 ISO vs. left handed pitching - so the question is really why not?
  • Trea Turner

  • Calvin Mitchell

  • Taylor Trammell

STACKS

  • Boston Red Sox

    • The Red Sox face Hunter Greene tonight in Boston and are projected to score 4.98 runs, the 2nd highest amount on the slate. With some of their best bats such as Devers in a great split matchup, I think they are a worthy stack as opposed to the slates leading run scoring team, Dodgers. As of this writing, the lineup is out, and that includes 3 left handed bats of the 1st 5 in their order. Hunter Greene might be a good prospect, but in his limited MLB experience he has been getting crushed from both sides of the plate to the tune of a 4.35 xFIP. What I like the most though, Greene has a crazy 3.05 HR/9 which should not play very well in Boston. Fire up a Red Sox stack.
  • New York Yankees - 4.54 Runs Projected - v Detmers (L - LAA)

    • The Yankees are obviously loaded with right handed power bats and now are finally starting to get healthy. The lineup is already published and it looks like we will have the likes of LeMahieu, Judge, Torres and Hicks all available. Detmers, the left hander for the Angels, is set to face 7 right handed bats tonight and as I mentioned for Judge above, he has certainly struggled in the split. I like how the Yankees are some what in the mid range of runs projections, which hopefully will keep ownership low.